Even so, Tampa-based Republican strategist Ron Pierce said the recent events may not impact voters as much as Democrats would like. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. In fact, President Barack Obama and Mr. Biden, running on the Democratic ticket, won Florida and Ohio in 2012. "Republicans can't win the presidency unless they carry Florida," said Stephen Craig, a political science professor at the University of Florida. Mr. Trump was not a candidate that year. If you want to know who will win the presidential election between President Trump and Joe Biden on Nov. 3, Florida's Pinellas County may be able … He pointed out that Biden's potential weakness in the state is in South Florida, where Cuban voters have been showing more support for Trump than they did in 2016. here for reprint permission. It's not just Cubans, a group that has long been shifting toward Republicans. Or will it be just another cluster of chaos? He said Trump “has interests, obviously in Russia,” and has “alienated our allies and cozied up to our enemies.” And, Zaenglein said, “his holding the Bible in front of that church was bad, disgusting.” That happened after Trump had peaceful protesters forcibly removed from an area outside the White House so he could hold the photo op with the Bible. Samantha Zager, Trump campaign's Deputy National Press Secretary, reinforced that messaging in an email to CNBC, "Floridians know better than to trust Joe Biden, who's been in office for 47 years yet is running solely on fear of the coronavirus and lies about his socialist agenda." where Cuban voters have been showing more support for Trump than they did in 2016. Copyright © 2020 The Washington Times, LLC. Trump 4 points ahead of Biden in Florida; poll shows first lead in state for president all year . Quiz: US Citizenship Test - Could You Pass? "Socialism is all you have to say to those people and they're not voting for anyone who looks like they're going toward that," she said, noting that Republican messaging about Biden appears to be working in those populations. So, does that mean the county is losing its predictive edge? While it's impossible to know how the 2020 election will turn out, "I will be very happy if we lose our swing status and become solid blue," Scott, the Pinellas Democratic chair, said. Here’s how people in the know make their picks. In 2016, he wrote in the name of U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla. Quiz: Can you pass this basic astronomy test. Defend our courts. He also thinks the president is not well. I’m a Christian. Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden were originally scheduled to face off on Thursday in Miami at a formal debate — until last week, when Mr. Trump abruptly withdrew after the …

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