• CNN poll results released Tuesday showed Biden with a 16-point lead over Trump (57 percent to 41 percent) among likely voters. But a Marquette University Law School poll had Clinton up by seven percentage points in October of 2016. Bottom line: Both the national and state polls are telling a similar story. That is, the range in the polls in the average election has been closer to 14 to 16 points, depending on how you calculate the polling average. But many Democrats are still traumatized by the polling missteps in 2016, which overlooked the strength of Trump’s support in battleground states. Poll: Donald Trump Now Leads Joe Biden in National Popular Vote 6,873 AP Photo, File. SurveyUSA had Clinton with a 10-point lead in Minnesota. Yes, that sounds a lot like 2016, but the margins by which Biden leads Trump are, in some instances, larger than by which Clinton led Trump 4 years ago. There’s not a single poll I can point to either nationally or in a battleground state that reads differently. It’s one of Joe Biden holding a comfortable lead with just about three weeks until the final day of voting. And finally, Missouri. Still, the safest bet at this point is that Biden has been ahead and will likely be ahead when all the votes are counted. Clinton edged out Trump in Minnesota by about one percentage point. The poll found that 46 percent of likely voters nationwide support Trump … Hillary Clinton lost Wisconsin by less than one percentage point. But let’s catch our collective breath for a moment. What Obama had that Biden doesn't have, however, was an edge in the electoral college relative to the popular vote. Trump walloped Clinton there by about 18%. To enable Verizon Media and our partners to process your personal data select 'I agree', or select 'Manage settings' for more information and to manage your choices. Biden has maintained leads not just nationally, but in the, Speaking of the Clinton campaign, Biden has never once fallen behind nationally. New CBS News/YouGov polls reveal that former Vice President Joe Biden maintains his grip on the 2020 race for president. Monmouth currently has Biden up 12 in Pennsylvania. Now, the Missouri RCP Average has Trump leading by 7. This story originally appeared on Smerconish.com. Eventually, Reagan won by 10 points. Gerald Ford went from easily winning in 1976 to being down by a wide margin and ultimately losing by 2 points. Information about your device and internet connection, including your IP address, Browsing and search activity while using Verizon Media websites and apps. And given that there is still time for Biden's national lead to shrink to 6 points or even 5 points, he can't take this election to the bank by any stretch. [email protected]. As Peggy Noonan wrote for the Wall Street Journal: “This is also the week that journalists and politicos in Washington began wondering about something they never expected to be thinking about this year. The October Quinnipiac survey of Iowa had Clinton and Trump in a virtual tie. The Real Clear Politics polling average in 2016 Trump up by 18.5 – pretty much spot on. I Saved Your Damn Neighborhood!’, Watch Anderson Cooper Try to Keep It Together After Realizing Trump Rally is Playing Macho Man By the Village People, Don Lemon Calls Out Trump’s ‘Preposterous’ Refusal to Reveal Last Negative Test: ‘His Mind Is Slipping’ or ‘He Wasn’t Tested and Can’t Admit It’, Mercedes Schlapp Sneers At Biden Town Hall By Comparing it to Mister Rogers, Twitter Reminds Her Mister Rogers Is Awesome, Fox News Hosts and Trump Campaign Fume at Savannah Guthrie For Tough Questioning of President at Town Hall, Van Jones Calls Court Packing a ‘Teddy Bear’ for ‘Angry’ Democrats: Biden ‘Doesn’t Want to Take the Teddy Bear Away’, Woman Sitting Behind Trump at NBC Town Hall Nods Vigorously Throughout His Answers, Prompting Adoration and Outrage.

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